Sentiment [ENG]
Sentiment
Sentiment is a prediction market where participants trade on the likelihood of real-world outcomes.
Each market represents a specific event. Traders take a position by buying YES or NO contracts. When the event resolves, the winning side settles at full value, while the losing side settles at zero.
Prices represent probability. They move dynamically only as a result of user trading activity, reflecting collective market expectations rather than external price feeds, indexes, or automated adjustments.
Sentiment is designed to be simple, transparent, and fast. All markets operate fully on-chain, with open pricing and verifiable settlement.
Purpose of Sentiment
Sentiment provides access to a different market dimension: expectations and crowd psychology.
Instead of trading price movement, participants trade probabilities.
Sentiment enables users to:
speculate on crypto market outcomes
trade macro and economic events
take positions on sports results
react to political decisions and global news
participate in hype cycles and cultural trends
trade region-specific and non-standard events
hedge uncertainty independently of price direction
profit from changes in perceived probability
How It Works
Each market consists of two possible outcomes:
YES
NO
The price of each outcome reflects the probability assigned by the market through user activity.
A participant buys contracts at the current market price:
if the selected outcome resolves as true, each contract settles at 1 dollar
if it resolves as false, each contract settles at zero
Trading Flow
1. Selecting a Market
Each market card includes:
event title
current YES and NO probabilities
time remaining until resolution
trading volume
recent probability movement
2. Opening a Position
The participant selects YES or NO and enters an amount. The system calculates the number of contracts acquired.
3. Closing Before Resolution
Positions can be closed prior to event resolution to realize profit or limit losses if sentiment shifts.
What Moves Sentiment Price
Sentiment prices are driven exclusively by user actions.
Prices change only when participants buy or sell YES or NO contracts. Information influences how users act, but does not move prices directly.
Market Tools Inside Sentiment
Sentiment provides real-time visibility into market dynamics:
live probability changes
trading volume dynamics
sentiment evolution over time
Settlement
When an event concludes and the outcome is verified:
the market resolves deterministically
winning positions settle at full value
losing positions settle at zero
funds are credited immediately
Settlement is transparent and trust-minimized.
Best Use Cases
Sentiment is effective for:
trading uncertainty rather than price action
hedging volatile market conditions
contrarian strategies against crowd behavior
early positioning before information is priced in
Summary
Sentiment enables probability-based trading on real-world outcomes, where market prices reflect collective belief expressed through user activity.
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